diff options
Diffstat (limited to 'doc/results.md')
-rw-r--r-- | doc/results.md | 49 |
1 files changed, 49 insertions, 0 deletions
diff --git a/doc/results.md b/doc/results.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..d819ac2 --- /dev/null +++ b/doc/results.md @@ -0,0 +1,49 @@ +Scoring rules +============= + +Every race or ranked qualifying session results for each entry are handed ordinal numbers as "groups" in which the entry was classified. + +For qualifying, a group is simply the qualifying position (not applying any carryover/technical grid drop penalties, but applying disqualification/exclusion/grid penalties for offences during the ranked session). + +For races the following rules apply: + + * race winning entry forms group "1" + * among the drivers classified on the lead lap, other groups are as follows: 2-3 places are group "2", 4-5 places are group "3", 6-10 places are group "4", 11-15 places are group "5", etc. + * for drivers classified outside the lead lap, the groups are formed by the drivers classified with the same numbers of completed laps (each distinct lap number as a separate group) + * non-classified drivers (because of completing not enough laps, but not retiring) form a single separate group, below all the classified drivers + * drivers retiring due to driver-induced accidents form a single separate group, below other drivers + * drivers disqualified from the race form a single separate group, below other drivers + * drivers retiring due to mechanical issues form a special "0" group together with drivers which did not start the race + +After separating session results into groups, all entries from non-"0" groups form a "tournament". All possible entry couples are paired against each other to form "duels". The outcome of the duel may be a win/loss (if the entries are grouped in different groups) or a draw (if entries are grouped within the same group). + +All such duels are then treated as input for Elo rating algorithm. + +Specific rules regarding Elo implementation for this application's purposes: + + * rankings are applied (evaluated) after each session (note: debug information for Bologna Sprints does not display correct "previous" ratings: ratings are applied after each heat, yeat debug info displays inital rating from before the event; this applies to any possible situation in which drivers take part in multiple sessions in one day) + * no minimum rating limit for driver is enforced + * drivers are rated from their first entry (there's no initial grace period, see: challenges.txt) + * shared drive entries have the effective ranking equal to the average ranking of drivers sharing the drive; pending ranking points from duels of such entries are divided equally between drivers sharing the drive + * driver group disparity is varied to accommodate for dynamic shifts of relative performance within the F1 field (caused by technical changes) - see below + +Other than that, standard Elo rating conventions apply: + + * drivers start with identical initial rating + * duels between high-ranked drivers change their rankings by fewer points than duels between low-ranked drivers + +Field disparity change: + + * higher disparity leads to more rating inflation - as disparity is a measure of rating difference that yields a certian probability of driver's victory, so higher disparity leads to more attribution for a victory to a driver (and less attribution to the shift of performance, e.g. car performance change) + * higher rating deviation in the months prior to a race suggests a shift in relative performance (some drivers gain a lot, some divers lose a lot), so there's a need for damping further changes a bit - by lowering disparity + * once the ratings are stabilized (meaning relative performance within the field had settled), disparity can be increased + * this helps with the initial "rolling start" phase of the ranking (1946-1949 races) + +Specific parameters which are configurable: + + * initial driver ranking + * initial disparity factor (ranking difference which drops the possibility of lower-ranked driver's win by the factor of 10) + * duel importance (base, i.e. for drivers ranked below importance thresholds) for all race types + * importance thresholds (for 50% of base importance and 75% of base importance) + +All calculation is rounded to 2 decimal places at each rating cycle. |